A sensible center for planning is about {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.expected)}} {{result.unit}}{{'' if result.r.expected==1 else 's'}}. Your estimate has a spread of about {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.sigma)}} {{result.unit}}{{'' if result.r.sigma==1 else 's'}} around that center.
About 68% of outcomes are expected to fall inside this band. In plain English: this is the normal uncertainty zone around your plan.
About 95% of outcomes are expected inside this wider band. This is the safer range when missing the plan would matter.
Nearly all modeled outcomes fall inside this very wide band. Treat it as an extreme planning envelope, not a promise.
About a 2% completion chance under the approximation. Treat this as an exceptional push target, not a normal commitment.
About a 16% completion chance. This deadline is possible, but it leaves very little room for ordinary problems.
The original Wize outer allowance: Worst Case plus three σ. Use it as a large planning cushion, not as a statistical 99.7% promise.
Best: {{'%.2f'|format(result.o)}} · Most likely: {{'%.2f'|format(result.m)}} · Worst: {{'%.2f'|format(result.p)}} · Expected: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.expected)}} · σ: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.sigma)}} {% if result.derived %}· Worst was automatically set to Best × 2{% endif %}
68% mean-centered reference: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_68[0])}} → {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_68[1])}}. 95% reference: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_95[0])}} → {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_95[1])}}. 99.7% reference: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_997[0])}} → {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.range_997[1])}}.
Original Wize high-stress boundary: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.high_stress)}}. Original Wize low-stress/max boundary: {{'%.2f'|format(result.r.low_stress)}}.
{{result.r.confidence_sentence}}
Most likely {{'%.2f'|format(r.likely)}} · σ {{'%.2f'|format(r.sigma)}} · Original Wize stress allowance {{'%.2f'|format(r.high_stress)}} → {{'%.2f'|format(r.low_stress)}} {{r.unit}}.
No PERT records yet.
{% endfor %}