{% from "_macros.html" import empty, csrf %}

Backtests

Brier score after qualifying (lower is better) against a grid-only baseline; green beats the grid. Each row is one run × track setting, newest first. + Edge Finder adds that model with every strategy already in the Edge Finder.

{% for b in backtests %} {% for k in ['win', 'podium', 'top10'] %}{% set v, g = b[k], b[k ~ '_grid'] %}{% endfor %} {% else %}{% endfor %}
RunModelSportCreatedRacesHalf-lifeSimsTrackWingridPodiumgridTop 10gridWin before practiceWin before quali
#{{ b.id }}{% if b.f1 %}{{ b.variant }} {% if b.variant in swept %}{% else %}run sweep →{% endif %}{% endif %}{{ b.sport }}{{ b.created_at|fmt }}{{ b.races }}{{ b.half_life|fmt }}{{ b.sims or "" }}{{ b.track }}{{ "%.4f"|format(v) if v is not none }}{{ "%.4f"|format(g) if g is not none }}{{ "%.4f"|format(b.pre_weekend_win) if b.pre_weekend_win is not none }}{{ "%.4f"|format(b.pre_quali_win) if b.pre_quali_win is not none }}
{{ empty("No backtests yet.") }}

Downhill backtests are stored as metrics tables; see the run pages.