WP-1325 out of sample: over-flexible laws on the WO3 ramp (false-alarm arm)
machine   Darwin arm64, 10 CPUs, python 3.12.10, numpy 2.5.4
rietx     1.10.0.dev0 at 7d7cb7bc, compiled kernels on
load      7.91 8.92 7.06
arm       5 windows of 20 patterns; degree 4 in T on all 14 cell targets per window; windows run [0, 1, 2, 3, 4]
joint     plan ['scale_bkg', 'disp', 'cell', 'strain']; seeds from the better of the two chains per pattern; B held at the chain's

window 0: patterns 0..19, T 300-259 K; 2422.3 s; status converged; iters [2, 4, 98, 65]; Rwp 13.169 %; χ²r 2.156, f 2.421
  m_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.17/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
  m_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
  m_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.10/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  m_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  t_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.12/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.12/dir, p 1) keep
  t_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.15/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.17/dir, p 1) keep
  t_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       4.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.30/dir, p 0.996) keep
           tied        2.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.17/dir, p 1) keep
  t_alpha  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.19/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.15/dir, p 1) keep
  t_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.10/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  t_gamma  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.15/dir, p 1) keep
  p_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed      10.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.67/dir, p 0.815) keep
           tied       13.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.92/dir, p 0.536) keep
  p_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       4.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.31/dir, p 0.995) keep
           tied        9.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.62/dir, p 0.86) keep
  p_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       4.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.27/dir, p 0.997) keep
           tied        4.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.33/dir, p 0.993) keep
  p_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
  joint        45.0 / 210 dof (cut  244.8,  0.21/dir, p 1) keep

window 1: patterns 20..39, T 257-216 K; 1989.9 s; status converged; iters [2, 5, 19, 136]; Rwp 13.261 %; χ²r 2.189, f 2.466
  m_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  m_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  m_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
  m_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  t_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  t_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  t_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       3.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.24/dir, p 0.999) keep
           tied        1.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.12/dir, p 1) keep
  t_alpha  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.10/dir, p 1) keep
  t_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  t_gamma  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  p_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
  p_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.17/dir, p 1) keep
  p_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       6.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.44/dir, p 0.968) keep
           tied        4.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.32/dir, p 0.994) keep
  p_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  joint        23.7 / 210 dof (cut  244.8,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep

window 2: patterns 40..59, T 214-174 K; 199.6 s; status converged; iters [2, 5, 12, 18]; Rwp 12.980 %; χ²r 2.103, f 2.468
  m_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
  m_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.14/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
  m_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.15/dir, p 1) keep
  m_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  t_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.11/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.12/dir, p 1) keep
  t_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
  t_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       3.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.20/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.18/dir, p 1) keep
  t_alpha  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  t_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       2.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.14/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        2.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.14/dir, p 1) keep
  t_gamma  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  p_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
  p_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  p_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.12/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.13/dir, p 1) keep
  p_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
  joint        20.9 / 210 dof (cut  244.8,  0.10/dir, p 1) keep

window 3: patterns 60..79, T 172-132 K; 248.0 s; status converged; iters [2, 5, 6, 32]; Rwp 13.831 %; χ²r 2.403, f 3.247
  m_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  m_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.02/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  m_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.0 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  m_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  t_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  t_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  t_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.9 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  t_alpha  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
  t_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  t_gamma  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  p_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  p_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  p_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.06/dir, p 1) keep
  p_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  joint         9.4 / 210 dof (cut  244.8,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep

window 4: patterns 80..99, T 130-90 K; 458.5 s; status converged; iters [2, 4, 5, 112]; Rwp 14.396 %; χ²r 2.614, f 3.506
  m_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  m_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  m_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.09/dir, p 1) keep
  m_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.02/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.02/dir, p 1) keep
  t_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.7 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
  t_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
  t_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       1.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.10/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.08/dir, p 1) keep
  t_alpha  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  t_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.02/dir, p 1) keep
  t_gamma  patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.01/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.2 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.01/dir, p 1) keep
  p_a      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.6 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep
  p_b      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.4 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        1.1 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.07/dir, p 1) keep
  p_c      patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.3 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.02/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  p_beta   patterns  20 of  20  kept
           freed       0.8 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.05/dir, p 1) keep
           tied        0.5 /  15 dof (cut   25.0,  0.03/dir, p 1) keep
  joint         8.6 / 210 dof (cut  244.8,  0.04/dir, p 1) keep

SUMMARY (p over χ²_red·f², the shipped test; 'no f²' divides by χ²_red alone)
  per-law freed (the verdict): 0 of 70 reject at 95 % (expected 3.5); KS D 0.967, p 1.02e-103; median p 1.000
    p: 0.815 0.968 0.995 0.996 0.997 0.999 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
  per-law tied: 0 of 70 reject at 95 % (expected 3.5); KS D 0.964, p 1.04e-101; median p 1.000
    p: 0.536 0.86 0.993 0.994 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
  joint, one per window: 0 of 5 reject at 95 % (expected 0.2); KS D 1.000, p 0; median p 1.000
    p: 1 1 1 1 1
  per-law freed, no f²: 4 of 70 reject at 95 % (expected 3.5); KS D 0.539, p 1.47e-19; median p 0.937
    p: 3.69e-07 0.000422 0.0301 0.0338 0.0633 0.106 0.22 0.232 0.329 0.398 0.439 0.558 0.597 0.603 0.679 0.694 0.737 0.751 0.789 0.81 0.822 0.827 0.834 0.838 0.852 0.862 0.869 0.886 0.902 0.913 0.914 0.918 0.921 0.922 0.933 0.941 0.942 0.946 0.948 0.954 0.956 0.959 0.959 0.962 0.964 0.967 0.969 0.972 0.974 0.974 0.975 0.975 0.975 0.981 0.983 0.986 0.987 0.988 0.989 0.989 0.991 0.992 0.993 0.995 0.996 0.997 0.998 0.998 0.999 1
  joint, no f²: 1 of 5 reject at 95 % (expected 0.2); KS D 0.800, p 0.000643; median p 1.000
    p: 0.00692 1 1 1 1

per law (window, law, patterns tested, verdict, freed p, tied p, freed p no f²):
  0 m_a       20 False        1        1     0.439
  0 m_b       20 False        1        1     0.862
  0 m_c       20 False        1        1     0.869
  0 m_beta    20 False        1        1     0.967
  0 t_a       20 False        1        1      0.81
  0 t_b       20 False        1        1     0.558
  0 t_c       20 False    0.996        1    0.0338
  0 t_alpha   20 False        1        1     0.329
  0 t_beta    20 False        1        1     0.886
  0 t_gamma   20 False        1        1     0.737
  0 p_a       20 False    0.815    0.536  3.69e-07
  0 p_b       20 False    0.995     0.86    0.0301
  0 p_c       20 False    0.997    0.993    0.0633
  0 p_beta    20 False        1        1     0.822
  1 m_a       20 False        1        1     0.942
  1 m_b       20 False        1        1     0.834
  1 m_c       20 False        1        1     0.996
  1 m_beta    20 False        1        1     0.969
  1 t_a       20 False        1        1     0.986
  1 t_b       20 False        1        1     0.922
  1 t_c       20 False    0.999        1     0.106
  1 t_alpha   20 False        1        1     0.946
  1 t_beta    20 False        1        1     0.989
  1 t_gamma   20 False        1        1     0.959
  1 p_a       20 False        1        1     0.902
  1 p_b       20 False        1        1     0.679
  1 p_c       20 False    0.968    0.994  0.000422
  1 p_beta    20 False        1        1     0.956
  2 m_a       20 False        1        1     0.913
  2 m_b       20 False        1        1     0.597
  2 m_c       20 False        1        1     0.694
  2 m_beta    20 False        1        1     0.991
  2 t_a       20 False        1        1     0.838
  2 t_b       20 False        1        1     0.972
  2 t_c       20 False        1        1     0.232
  2 t_alpha   20 False        1        1     0.962
  2 t_beta    20 False        1        1     0.603
  2 t_gamma   20 False        1        1     0.975
  2 p_a       20 False        1        1     0.964
  2 p_b       20 False        1        1     0.954
  2 p_c       20 False        1        1     0.751
  2 p_beta    20 False        1        1     0.918
  3 m_a       20 False        1        1     0.981
  3 m_b       20 False        1        1     0.998
  3 m_c       20 False        1        1     0.789
  3 m_beta    20 False        1        1     0.975
  3 t_a       20 False        1        1     0.974
  3 t_b       20 False        1        1     0.974
  3 t_c       20 False        1        1     0.827
  3 t_alpha   20 False        1        1     0.948
  3 t_beta    20 False        1        1     0.975
  3 t_gamma   20 False        1        1     0.987
  3 p_a       20 False        1        1     0.941
  3 p_b       20 False        1        1     0.997
  3 p_c       20 False        1        1     0.914
  3 p_beta    20 False        1        1     0.993
  4 m_a       20 False        1        1     0.921
  4 m_b       20 False        1        1     0.989
  4 m_c       20 False        1        1     0.398
  4 m_beta    20 False        1        1     0.998
  4 t_a       20 False        1        1     0.959
  4 t_b       20 False        1        1     0.995
  4 t_c       20 False        1        1      0.22
  4 t_alpha   20 False        1        1     0.983
  4 t_beta    20 False        1        1     0.992
  4 t_gamma   20 False        1        1         1
  4 p_a       20 False        1        1     0.933
  4 p_b       20 False        1        1     0.988
  4 p_c       20 False        1        1     0.999
  4 p_beta    20 False        1        1     0.852
