Why PYPL

WATCH +0.0128

score +0.0128 sits in the WATCH band [+0.00, +0.20) of the published threshold table · snapshot 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC · point-in-time, never edited

Research and education only — not investment advice. Signal labels are research classifications, not buy/sell recommendations. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page.

Component breakdown (C1–C9, confidence-weighted composite)

C1 Price momentum w=0.12
-0.705
C2 Volume confirmation w=0.08
+0.000
volume feed not wired — zero-confidence by design (C2 challenger accrues in a parallel shadow table)
C3 Sector velocity w=0.12
-0.164
C4 Macro regime w=0.15
+0.600
macro-regime input frozen as of 2026-05-18 with staleness disclosure, pending macro engine restoration
C5 Oil/rates/FX w=0.05
+0.000
C6 Event impact w=0.18
-0.024
C7 Peer correlation w=0.10
+0.121
C8 Cascade effect w=0.12
+0.000
C9 Model trust w=0.08
+0.500

Weights are the published composite weights; component scores are the current snapshot's stored values. C6 event impact carries the highest single weight by design — evidence is meant to correct price-only signals, not echo them.

Excerpt corrections and quality flags

Original excerpts and their hashes are never edited; a corrected display excerpt is a separate annotation with its own digest and date. Detector hits stay SUSPECTED until verified against the primary document.

Evidence coverage — the four terms

85
ECS (0–100)
13
accepted events, 90d
13.1
days since latest event
3
distinct event types
1
substrate active (0/1)

Evidence Coverage v1 (registered protocol): how much evidence stands under this classification — coverage, not prediction.

Latest accepted events

INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 13.1 days ago
Kereere Suzan S 1100 shares @ $54.53 on 2026-09-03 ($59,981)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 13.1 days ago
Kereere Suzan S 995 shares @ $55.79 on 2026-09-03 ($55,512)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 13.1 days ago
Kereere Suzan S 1284 shares @ $56.69 on 2026-09-03 ($72,790)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.01 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 13.1 days ago
Keller Frank S 1185 shares @ $56.71 on 2026-09-03 ($67,199)
source filing ↗
INSIDER_SELL magnitude 0.03 · direction -1 · 4-parsed · 13.1 days ago
Keller Frank S 2427 shares @ $54.68 on 2026-09-03 ($132,716)
source filing ↗

Label history (last 30 snapshot days)

Point-in-time record, oldest → newest; colors follow the label legend on the home page. Never edited after the fact.

Story membership

No mega-story membership recorded for this name in the current evidence-geometry artifacts.

Research and education only — not investment advice. Investment implication: none established — no buy, sell, or alpha conclusion is supported by this page. Past results — in-sample or forward-tracked — do not predict future performance.

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Data through 2026-09-21 (last completed U.S. trading day); generated at 2026-09-21 23:03 UTC.